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| President Donald Trump's Republicans are trailing by a significant margin in the polls and it could cost them control of the House of Representatives. (Andrew Harnik/Associated Press) |
It seems that the Democrats and Republicans may be willing to split the control of the two houses of Congress. Likewise, the Democrats are ready to make significant gains in the House of Representatives and win the majority of the 435 seats available, while the Republicans are in a good position to retain control of the Senate.
However, for its part, the Senate may be out of reach for Democrats now, as its performance will still have a significant impact on its chances of winning full control of Congress by 2020.
On the other hand, to gain control of the House of Representatives, Democrats must obtain a net gain of 23 seats. The electoral map for the House is hard for the Democrats. This is partly due to the demographic “classification”: the Democrats are concentrated in the cities, the Republicans in rural and suburban areas, but they are also due to gerrymandering.
Likewise, the last redistricting took place after the United States census in 2010, which turned out to be a very good election year for Republicans. The result was a map stacked against the Democrats.


